Neighborhood Profile

The Provinces

Chandler, AZ | Maricopa County
Scored premium profile
Best Neighborhoods USA Index
62.1
National rank: #3,332 of 14,967
Stability and Strength
76.4
Score
Value Opportunity
77.4
Score
Momentum
17.9
Score
Score note: Rankings show denominators so users always see the size of the eligible cohort.
ContextValue
LocationChandler, AZ
CountyMaricopa County
National rank#3,332 of 14,967
State rank#181 of 746
City rank#38 of 102
County rank#172 of 546
National percentile77.8
National bandTOP_25_PERCENT
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Housing and local fundamentals

Housing and market metricsValue
Current Zillow home value$474,396
Year-over-year home value change-2.7%
Month-over-month home value change-0.30%
Home value to income ratio3.72
Median household income$127,390
Bachelor's degree or higher41.0%
Civilian unemployment rate0.5%
Homeownership rate72.8%
Housing vacancy rate1.0%
Rent burden 30% or higher41.0%

How to read this profile

  • Ranks are always shown with denominators.
  • Momentum reflects both year-over-year and month-over-month housing change.
  • Stability and Strength and Value Opportunity are governed composite scores.
  • Identity composition is descriptive intelligence and is not a scoring component.
Questions and Answers

Questions About Living in The Provinces

What is the Best Neighborhoods USA ranking for The Provinces?

The Provinces is ranked #38 of 102 eligible neighborhoods in Chandler; #181 of 746 eligible neighborhoods in AZ; and #3,332 of 14,967 eligible neighborhoods in the United States.

Is The Provinces one of the best neighborhoods in Chandler?

The Provinces has a Best Neighborhoods USA Index of 62.1 and a city ranking of #38 of 102 eligible neighborhoods in Chandler.

How much are homes worth in The Provinces?

The current Zillow Home Value Index for The Provinces is approximately $474,396.

Are home values rising or falling in The Provinces?

Zillow neighborhood values changed -2.7% year over year and -0.30% month over month.

What is the Neighborhood Momentum Score for The Provinces?

The Provinces has a Neighborhood Momentum Score of 17.9. Momentum is 70% year-over-year and 30% month-over-month Zillow housing change.

What is the median household income in The Provinces?

The NDS-derived neighborhood median household income is approximately $127,390.

How affordable is The Provinces relative to household income?

The current Zillow home-value-to-household-income ratio is 3.72. Price-to-income affordability is a major Value Opportunity input.

Is The Provinces primarily homeowners or renters?

The NDS-derived homeownership rate is approximately 72.8%.

What is the unemployment rate in The Provinces?

The NDS-derived civilian unemployment rate is approximately 0.5%.

How educated are residents of The Provinces?

Approximately 41.0% of residents age 25 and older are estimated to have a bachelor's degree or higher.

What share of renters in The Provinces face high rent burden?

Approximately 41.0% of the applicable renter-household universe is estimated to spend 30% or more of household income on gross rent.

How does Best Neighborhoods USA score The Provinces?

The overall index combines 40% Stability and Strength, 35% Value Opportunity, and 25% Momentum. Race, ethnicity, and identity composition are not scoring components.

Governed ranking context

How this neighborhood ranks

HMDA Mortgage Intelligence

Neighborhood Mortgage Market

FULL_OR_NEAR_FULL

Modeled neighborhood-level mortgage activity allocated from governed HMDA tract data using Zillow neighborhood geometry. These neighborhood values are nonadditive and do not enter the Best Neighborhoods USA Index.

Activity year2024
Estimated applications201
Estimated originations123
Home-purchase applications71
Origination rate61.4%
Home-purchase share35.4%
Average application loan$255,488
Total application loan amount$51,230,710
National application rank#2,051 of 14,874 rankable neighborhoods
Geometry coverage100.0%
Recent trend: Applications 7.9% YoY; originations 15.0% YoY
Mortgage methodology

HMDA is natively reported at tract and other lender-reporting geographies, not Zillow neighborhood or ZIP geography. This module uses the certified NDS HMDA-to-Zillow tract-vintage crosswalk and area-weighted allocation. Rankings require governed geometry coverage. Applicant demographics are excluded. Neighborhood values may overlap and must not be summed to reconstruct ZIP or national totals.